Tuesday, February 6, 2018

What's going on and why does it matter?

Mortgage bonds were beneficiaries of the global stock market sell-off yesterday as investors plowed money into the safety of bonds in order to wait out the storm. Today, however, mortgage bonds are giving back some of their gains from yesterday's rally, and market participants may look for some stabilization before mortgage pricing gets too much better.  Much of yesterday's selling pressure in the stock market was due to automated triggers, so it's hard to tell whether the stock market sell-off will continue today.  The Fed is scheduled to purchase a sizable $1.31 billion of 30-year conventional mortgage bonds today, which may help.

What should you do about it?

Trying to time the market in times like this is a bit like trying to catch a falling knife. So, it may be best just to play it safe and lock your rate.


MBS Chart

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Economic reports that may impact mortgage rates this week:
Date
Report
Period
Prior
Est.
Actual
Mon 5 Feb
ISM Non-Mfg PMI
Jan
55.9
56.5
59.9
Tue 6 Feb
JOLTS Job Openings
Dec
5.879M
5.90M

Thu 8 Feb
Initial Jobless Claims
Week of Jan 29
230k
238k

Fri 9 Feb
Wholesale Inventories
Dec
0.2%
0.2%

Fri 9 Feb
Wholesale Sales
Dec
1.5%
0.6%



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