Monday, June 26, 2017

What's going on and why does it matter?
Mortgage bonds opened this week in positive territory and they are trading above all their major moving averages.  Mortgage pricing should remain favorable as long as bonds continue to trade at or above these levels.  The economic calendar this week includes some important economic reports, most notably the core PCE inflation numbers.  Core PCE is the Fed's favorite measurement of inflation. Also of importance to the bond market this week, is whether the Senate's health care bill advances. The Fed is scheduled to purchase up to $1.35 billion of 30-year conventional mortgage bonds today.

What should you do about it?
Watch for mortgage bond prices to continue higher, but be prepared to lock your rate quickly if bond prices start heading south.

MBS Chart
Economic reports that may impact mortgage rates this week:

DateReportPeriodPriorEstimateActual
Mon
26 Jun
Durable
Goods
May-0.9%-0.6%-1.1%
Tue
27 Jun
Consumer
Confidence
Jun117.9116.0 
Wed
28 Jun
Pending
Home Sales
May-1.3%0.8% 
Thu
29 Jun
GDP
final est.
Q1
2017
2.1%1.2% 
Thu
29 Jun
Core PCE
Prices
Q1
2017
1.3%2.1% 
Thu
29 Jun
Initial Jobless
Claims
Week of
June 19
241,000240,000 
Fri
30 Jun
Personal
Income
May0.4%0.3% 
Fri
30 Jun
Core PCE
Price Index
May0.2%0.1% 
Fri
30 Jun
Chicago PMIJune59.458.0 
Fri
30 Jun
U of Mich.
Consumer
Sentiment
Jun97.194.5 

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